A SPECIAL NOTE ON THE UPDATE STATUS OF THIS SITE!

Most of the links here are from my bookmarks from the Democratic Underground Election Reform Forum. I will continue to post my raw bookmarks directly from DU regularly, but will not be categorizing or sorting them. You can see the newest links from DU HERE. My other primary source for election fraud information is BradBlog. I have decided to spend my time keeping my Election Fraud Beginner's Guide site, and ElectionFraudBlog.com up to date. There are many fraud sites doing a bettter job of categorizing general election fraud news than me - such as SolarBus.org.

 

2004 Election Theft.com


2004 ELECTION THEFT: PROJECTIONS AND EXIT POLLS


red = best (read now!), green = just added (last few days), Newer links at bottom of each section.

The Election Model - by TruthIsAll (probably what REALLY happened on Nov.2nd)
Electoral College Meta-Analysis
(election.princeton.edu) (very, very good!)
Again History Is Made On DU - EXIT POLL THEORY Bounces Back
A Must Read ** Breakthrough ** – EXIT POLL ANALYSIS FOR 47 STATES
GOP Wants to End Exit Polls
- Gee, I wonder why?
"... exit polls were adjusted to reflect official vote tallies."?
Exit Polls Right, Tallies Wrong?
Exit Polls vs. Reported Results
Footprints of Electoral Fraud: The November 2 Exit Poll Scam - by Michael Keefer
Cal Tech exit polls (corrupted) & Freeman-U of Pa exit polls (uncorrupted)
Complete US Exit Poll Data Confirms Net Suspicions:
Full 51 State Early Exit Poll Data
THIS IS THE TRUE FRAUD-FREE ELECTION RESULT
Exit Polls MATCHED Pre-Election polls within 1/7th of ONE percent
8.1 million Gore voters didn't bother voting this month
News Groups Will Delay Future Exit Polls
(...to buy more time to alter them?)
US Election: Democracy in Question
- John Zogby, Ralph Nader
National Election Pool is a secret consortium with intelligence ties
Mirror of Zogby's 5pm Election Day Prediction
submitted by Jesse Stewart (11/21)
New analysis of Ohio exit polls. - TennisGuy2004 on DU (11/22)
Errors in exit polls still a puzzle to many John Allen Paulos (11/24)
Bush-Cheney Campaign Headquarters: What They Don't Want You To Know by Wayne Madsen (7/27/04)
Pre-election State Polls vs. Exit Polls vs. Actuals: ONE Graph. Look Close by TruthIsAll (11/24)
ONE OUT OF 4.5 BILLION! by TruthIsAll (11/25)
How could exit polls have been so wrong? by Eric Fried (11/26)
An Ongoing E-mail Arguement with Mitofsky by truehawk on DU (11/26)
The exit polls WERE adjusted to the election results from John Helge on DU (11/28)
Final Tallies Minus Exit Polls = A Statistical Mystery! by John Allen Paulos (11/24)
15 QUESTIONS FOR THOSE WHO WOULD DISPARAGE EXIT POLLING. by TruthIsAll on DU (11/28)
Why is it that exit polls since 1988 have ALL overstated the Dem vote? from TruthIsAll on DU (12/5)
Analysis Reveals Dramatic Evidence of Election Tampering By Webb Mealy, PhD (12/5)
THE PROBABILITY IS ZERO from TruthIsAll (12/5)
Pre-election advice on Exit Polls from Edison Media !!! from k8conant on DU (12/5)
Electoral-vote.com's map based on exit polls from latteromden on DU (12/7)
Edison - Mitofsky Exit Polls Method Statment and the questionnaire (.pdf) used from sabra on DU (12/8)
Zogby Polling Seeks Damage Control After Election Day Flub from sabra on DU (12/9)
Zogby Defense: 'My Polling Was Very, Very Good' from blitzburgh55 on DU (12/12)
WTF!? Exit Polls Were Correct for Other Races from BlueDog2u on DU (12/12)
Eliminating Exit Polls ... a new strategy? from sunnystarr on DU (12/12)
Kerry: Exit polls (50.6%/311EV) MATCHED pre-election polls (50.52%/322EV) from TruthIsAll on DU (12/12)
IT'S GRAPHIC: KERRY VOTE TALLIES VS. EXIT POLLS from TruthIsAll on DU (12/14)
SMOKING GUN? 2000 EXIT POLLS ACCURATE TO WITHIN 0.17%. STRAWMAN DOWN! from TruthIsAll on DU (12/24)
TV Networks Officially Refuse to Release Exit Poll Raw Data by Gary Beckwith (12/24)
THE SMOKING GRAPH: GORE (tight) VS. KERRY (wide) EXIT POLL DEVIATIONS from TruthIsAll on DU (12/24)
THE NATIONAL VOTE/EXIT POLL TIMELINE AND THE OHIO/FLORIDA EXIT POLL DISCREPANCIES. from TruthIsAll on DU (12/26)
CONFIRMING DR. BAIMAN: THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL SAMPLE PROBABILITIES from TruthIsAll on DU (12/26)
ExitPollz.org (12/30)
SMOKING GUN? THE CNN NATIONAL EXIT POLL SITE PROVES THAT KERRY WON! from TruthIsAll on DU (12/30)
Mitofsky 4 Zone Data (individual .pdfs)
Mitofsky 4 Zone Data (all .pdfs zipped)
National Election Poll: Analysis of Voter Demographics from TruthIsAll on DU (1/25/05)
Freeman disputes critique of his analysis of exit poll discrepancy from Amaryllis on DU (1/25/05)
Coincidence?100% paper-ballot OR is MOST accurate (within 0.40%) Exit Poll from TruthIsAll on DU (1/24/05)
GRAPH: Exit Poll Deviations Weighted by State Voting Method Mix from TruthIsAl on DU (1/20/05)
Mitofsky on Nightline:"26 of 30 deviations to Bush" Wrong. It was 30 of 30 from TruthIsAll onDU (1/25/05)
Exit pollsters to release election report to media (but not to public) from dzika on DU (1/20/05)
THREE PROBABILITIES from TruthIsAll on DU (1/25/05)
THE 2000 STATE EXIT POLLS WERE ALMOST PERFECT from TruthIsAll on DU (1/25/05)
I HAVE JUST UPDATED THE EXIT POLL ANALYSIS: THE RESULTS ARE ASTOUNDING. from TruthIsAll on DU (1/15/05)
Bush's win was a historical anomaly-- is this evidence of fraud? from spooked911 on DU (1/25/05)
1/23 UPDATE: NATIONAL EXIT POLL DEMOGRAPHIC STATISTICS from TruthIsAll on DU (1/23/05)
Mitofsky's background and an outrageous endorsement! from RaulVB on DU (1/26/05)
Despite what you may have heard, the exit polls were right By Steve Freeman and Josh Mitteldorf (2/15/05)
BLOWN TO SMITHEREENS: MITOFSKY'S "RELUCTANT BUSH RESPONDER" THEORY by TruthIsAll (2/12/05)
THE MOST DEVASTATING STATISTIC OF ALL: 17% OF THE VOTERS WERE NEW by TruthIsAll (2/10/05)
Response to Tokaji Critique of USCV Edison/Mitofsky Exit Poll Discrepancies - uscountvotes.org (2/04/05)
Naysayers, its time to take your strawmen elsewhere. 9 phd's call for election investigation! (2/15/05)
THE BARE TRUTH WHICH SHOULD HAVE FLIPPED OUT THE DEMOCRATS BY NOW. - TruthIsAll (1/29/05)
ULTIMATE PROOF KERRY WON: COMPARE THE NATIONAL EXIT POLLS -1996,2000,2004 from TruthIsAll on DU (2/20/05)
FASTEN SEAT BELTS. THIS IS THE CLINCHER. from TruthIsAll on DU (03/28/05)
THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO: KERRY WON BY 7 MILLION VOTES from TruthIsAll on DU (3/28/05)
Exit Poll Deviations vs. Governor's Party and Straight Party Voting Option from Bill Bored on DU (3/22/05)
100% ABSOLUTE PROOF: FINAL NEP OVERSTATED BUSH VOTE BY AT LEAST 2 MIL. from TruthIsAll on DU (03/21/05)
A TIA MEA CULPA: THE "SIMPLE" NEP EXPLANATION IS WRONG... from TruthIsAll on DU (2/30/05)
The Exit Polls were heavily biased against Kerry- here's why. from BernieW1 on DU (3/09/05)
UPDATED: MY COLLECTION OF EXIT POLL THREADS from TruthIsAll (3/13/05)
IF THIS PRELIMINARY NEP WEIGHT WAS CORRECT, WHY WAS IT CHANGED? from TruthIsAll (3/13/05)
A Mathematical proof: Exit polls are accurate from TruthIsAll (3/10/05)
The Nat Exit Poll Crime Line: 7:58pm(K) to 12:22am (K) to 2:04pm (B) from TruthIsAll (3/10/05)
Kerry won Nat. Exit Poll (11027 respondents) posted on CNN @ 7:58PM from TruthIsAll (3/06/05)
Exit Poll Electoral Map - is this right? from garybeck (2/23/05)
NATIONAL EXIT POLL: PRELIMINARY TO FINAL - WHAT HAPPENED? from TruthIsAll (2/26/05)
2002 Senate Election Fraud Probability Analysis: re-written for clarity from TruthIsAll (Sat Jul-26-03)
THE 13047 NATIONAL EXIT POLL CONFIRMS THE STATE EXIT POLLS (WITHIN .06%) ! - TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-24-05)
Truth: 0 to 13,047; Fiction: 13,048 - 13,660 - TruthIsAll (Tue Apr-19-05)
U.S. General Election Poll-7:37pm,11/02/04: "Estimates NOT for on-air use" - TruthIsAll (Mon Apr-18-05)
Bush Exit Poll Job Approval: A smoking gun? - TruthIsAll (Mon Apr-18-05)
This Jan 3 post on the IMPOSSIBLE Bush 43%/37% NEP weight is NOT from me! - TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-17-05)
National Exit Poll Analysis: Using FACTUAL Historic Data - TruthIsAll (Mon Apr-11-05)
ELECTION 2004: THE COMPLETE GRAPHICAL REFERENCE - TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-03-05)
Collective Bellaciao, France: Science proves that vote fraud is real! - MelissaB (Sun Apr-03-05)
From Selection 2000 to 2004 (NEP): Voted, Died, Reborn, Did Not Vote - TruthIsAll (Fri Apr-01-05)
The Nat Exit Poll Crime Line: 7:58pm(K) to 12:22am (K) to 2:04pm (B) - TruthIsAll (Mon Mar-07-05)
Kerry won Nat. Exit Poll (11027 respondents) posted on CNN @ 7:58PM - TruthIsAll (Sun Mar-06-05)
The Oregon Smoking Gun - TruthIsAll (Fri Mar-04-05)
HOW KERRY WON OHIO BY 51-48%... - TruthIsAll (Fri Apr-29-05)
A PUZZLE FOR DUERS: THE NATIONAL VS. STATE GENDER DEMOGRAPHIC MATCH-UP - TruthIsAll (Sat Apr-30-05)
Kathy Dopp's Most Recent Post Concerning Lizzie Liddel's Criticism of USCV - davidgmills (Sun May-01-05)
The Reluctant Gore Responder (RGR) -TruthIsAll (Sun May-01-05)
THESE NUMBERS TELL THE WHOLE STORY - TruthIsAll (Fri May-06-05)
1988-2000 Exit Poll Deviation trend was moving to ZERO - until 2004 - TruthIsAll (Thu May-05-05)
LET'S MOE DOWN THE LAST FEW NAYSAYERS ONCE AND FOR ALL - TruthIsAll (Wed May-04-05)
IS rBr STILL BREATHING? THE REQUIRED BUSH % OF REFUSERS IS IMPOSSIBLE! TruthIsAll Sat (May-21-05)
Mitofsky invented reluctant Bush responder scam for Bush Sr. in '92! tommcintyre (Sat May-21-05)
STATE / NATIONAL EXIT POLL ANALYSIS BY REGION by TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-24-05)
I can't believe this sh*t from Mitofsky...again. by MelissaB (Sat May-14-05)
NON-RESPONSE BIAS? HERE'S WHY IT HURT KERRY MORE THAN BUSH.. by TruthIsAll (Sat May-14-05)
PROBABILITY ANALYSIS PROVES: THE RBR HYPOTHESIS IS VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE! by TruthIsAll (Sat May-14-05)
RBR and Rove by Carolab (Tue May-10-05)
BYE, BYE rBr: IMPLAUSIBLE VOTER TURNOUT SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS by TruthIsAll (Mon May-09-05)
IT COMES DOWN TO THIS: WHERE DID BUSH FIND 13 MILLION NEW VOTES? KISS... by TruthIsAll (Tue May-10-05)
Even assuming rBr, it takes a MIRACLE to reverse Kerry's 51-48% margin by TruthIsAll (Sat May-07-05)
Yes, the Reluctant Republican Responder (3%) was a KERRY voter! by TruthIsAll (Fri May-06-05)
The UK and Ukraine have very accurate exit polls...interesting. (Fri May-06-05)
Reluctant Republican Respondents....who voted for Kerry by davidgmills (Fri May-06-05)
A non-statistician's view of the E-M exit poll controversy - Time for change (Sun May-22-05)
CNN changed their Exit poll numbers - chrisclub (Thu Jun-02-05)
EXIT POLL QUESTION: Party IDs vs. MOEs - Bill Bored (Fri Jun-17-05)
15% OF GORE VOTERS (7.65 MM) SUFFERED FROM ALZHEIMER'S IN 2004 - TruthIsAll (Mon Jun-27-05)
ELECTION 2004 BY THE NUMBERS - TruthIsAll (Tue Jun-28-05)
Ohio Exit Poll Raw Data - minvis (Fri Feb-18-05)
It's a shutout: FRAUD 3 , rBr 0 - TruthIsAll (Tue Jul-05-05)
Exit poll vs. current Bush Approval - chrisclub (Wed Jul-06-05)
EXIT POLL RESPONSE OPTIMIZER: KEY RESULTS - TruthIsAll (Sat Jul-09-05)
EXIT POLL ANALYSIS THREADS - 7/12/05 UPDATE -TruthIsAll
EXIT POLL ANALYSIS – ESSENTIAL DU THREADS - TruthIsAll (Thu Jul-14-05)
Here's where the "hypothesis" is refuted again... - LightningFlash (Sat Jul-02-05)
To believe Bush won, you must believe this. - TruthIsAll (Sun Jun-26-05)
Bushco stopped stealing votes after they had it in the bag. - TruthIsAll (Sat Jul-30-05)
Exit Polls show Shrub not winning 1994 Gov race.. Any DU Scoop? - Melissa G (Mon Aug-08-05)
RETURN OF THE CLINCHER: Kerry wins 120 of 120 scenarios - TruthIsAll (Tue Jun-21-05)
To Believe that Bush won..... - TruthIsAll (Fri May-13-05)
Dear Dr. Dean: - TruthIsAll (Wed Jun-29-05)

Freeman vs Mitofsky debate! - Melissa G on DU (Mon Sep-26-05)
Time Line of Exit Poll Irregularities Election 2004: Dopp and Freeman - Stevepol on DU (Sat Oct-22-05)
Steve Freeman Summary of Debate - Melissa G on DU (Thu Oct-20-05)
New Math PROOF that ESI/Mitofsky Logic is Invalid (Not Correct) - sunshinekathy on DU (Sat Oct-29-05)
1.1 for Elections. TIA, Even "Plainer" English. Law of Large Numbers,etc - autorank on DU (Dec-17-05)
Exit polls 2004 discrepancies made quick & EASY for the math impaired ! - Amaryllis (Mar-08-06)

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